White Sox, Buehrle hope to extend home streak versus Mariners

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07/28/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Mark Buehrle tries to lead the Chicago White Sox to their 10th straight home win this evening when they resume their four-game series against the Seattle Mariners at U.S. Cellular Field.

Buehrle has been a big reason behind the White Sox' recent surge to the top of the American League Central standings. The left-hander won for the sixth time in his last eight starts with a complete-game effort on Friday in Oakland, as he allowed a run and four hits to nail down the victory.

"As a starting pitcher, you're going to have so many good ones and then you're going to have bad ones throughout the year," Buehrle said. "I think I had so many bad ones at the beginning, I'm due to go on a little streak here and have a good one. Just keep it going."

Buehrle, who is 7-4 lifetime against the Mariners, is 9-8 on the year and his recent streak has lowered his earned run average from 5.40 to 3.96. He is also 6-0 with a 3.34 ERA in eight home starts versus Seattle.

Chicago continued to dominate the Mariners on Tuesday, as Alexei Ramirez, Paul Konerko and Andruw Jones each homered, and Gavin Floyd threw seven scoreless frames to lead the White Sox to an 11-0 rout.

Floyd (6-8) did not walk a batter in his outing, allowing only five hits while striking out six. The starter has allowed one earned run or less in all but one of his last 10 outings, lowering his earned-run average from 6.64 to 3.66.

Ramirez had three hits and drove in three, A.J. Pierzynski went 2-for-4 with two runs scored and two RBI, and Dayan Viciedo doubled twice and drove in a run for the Sox, who last won 10 in a row at home from April 15-May 4, 2006.

Ryan Rowland-Smith (1-10) gave up all 11 runs in five innings on 11 hits and two walks for the Mariners, who have lost four of their last six.

Seattle is also just 1-7 against the White Sox this season and a mere 7-25 in the Windy City since the start of the 2004 campaign.

Hoping to reverse that trend tonight will be surprising left-hander Jason Vargas, who is 6-5 with a 2.94 ERA. Vargas lost to Boston on Friday but pitched well, allowing two runs and eight hits in seven innings.

Vargas has faced the White Sox twice (one start) without getting a decision, but has pitched to a 2.45 ERA in the limited time against them.

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.