2009 CFL Western Preview - Calgary Stampeders

Football Betting Lines

06/23/2009 - Calgary, AB (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - FACTS & FIGURES: Division - West. 2008 Record - 15-5. Playoff Result: Defeated Montreal, 22-14, in the Grey Cup Championship. Stadium - McMahon Stadium. Capacity - 35,650. Colors - Red, white and black

Sixty years after winning their first Grey Cup, the 2008 version of the Stampeders turned the trick yet again, the first time since 2001 and just the sixth time since a football club from Calgary first appeared on the scene nearly a century ago.

Head coach and general manager John Hufnagel has his work cut out for him this season as the rest of the league places a bullseye on him and his Stamps.

What Hufnagel does have working in his favor is the 2008 Grey Cup MVP in Henry Burris. A product of Temple University more than a decade ago, Burris started every game for Calgary in 2008 and set personal highs for pass attempts (591), completions (381), passing yards (5,094) and touchdowns (39), all of which also represented the top totals for the squad since 1994.

More than just a passer, Burris also ranked second on the team in rushing with 595 yards, which means defenses have to be ready for almost anything when he takes the snap from center.

Stretching the field for Burris heading into the new season are wideouts Ken- Yon Rambo and Brett Ralph, while Titus Ryan and Ryan Thelwell will confound defenses as the second string of receivers.

Rambo backed up a career-best season in 2007 by drastically improving his numbers. A selection of the Oakland Raiders during the seventh round of the 2001 NFL Draft, Rambo logged 100 catches and a league-leading 1,473 yards a season ago, both sets of numbers marking the highest for the club since the 1995 campaign.

Ralph is a Canadian native who tallied 49 catches for 683 yards and five touchdowns in 2008, making him the most productive non-import for the Stampeders, even though he did attend both the University of Wyoming and Boise State before making his way to the University of Alberta in 2004.

Making his way out of the backfield for the Stamps will be Joffrey Reynolds, attempting to continue his growth as a running back who went from placing second in the league in rushing twice to the top of the list in 2008 with his 1,310 yards. Despite the style of play in the CFL leaning more heavily on the pass, Reynolds who has now posted four straight 1,000-yard rushing seasons, is expected to make another major impact.

Over on the defensive side of the ball, the line has lost a couple of players to the NFL (Charleston Hughes and Pat MacDonald), but that still leaves Mike Labinjo and Miguel Robede who will try to reprise their performances as the co-sack leaders for the Stampeders. With a total of 10 new faces in the mix there will be constant pressure to perform at a high level, which might bring a mixed bag of success depending on how the coaching staff deals with the ups and downs.

The middle of the field will be dominated by Shannon James, the linebacker who last season was regarded as the top defender for the Stampeders. This is the group that seems to be the most stable as both JoJuan Armour and Dwaine Carpenter were also considered regular starters for the unit a year ago. Having released Saleem Rasheed, the move could move Armour into the middle linebacker spot and/or give a handful of gifted additions a shot at plenty of playing time.

The secondary might be a work in progress as the coaches figure out how to fill voids left by a few key performers who helped the group place second in the league in the percentage of completed passes allowed. Brandon Browner stands as the top defensive back, having been named the only defender for the Stamps to make the CFL's All-Star team in 2008. Dwight Anderson, Brandon Smith and Wes Lysack have also shown starting ability and will be pushed by some talented additions.

Given that the majority of the primary pieces to the Calgary puzzle are back in place for another go, there's no reason to think this group can't retrace its steps and end up as the team that everyone else chases in the West Division yet again.

Sportsbook Betting Lines Predicted Finish: First

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MySportsbook.com : Fortune Favors Favorites in March Madness betting?

Just like Day 1 of the “Sweet 16”, Friday’s games are chock full of some of the nation’s elite.  Unlike Thursday’s games, there is a little bit more of a “Cinderella” feel as #7 seed UNLV and #6 seed Vanderbilt will attempt to move on to the Elite Eight.  With powerhouses Florida, UNC and Georgetown looking to continue their momentum against lesser known teams, it isn’t surprising that once again the “betting public” is backing most of the favorites.  As the early coin rolls in, 56% of Sportsbook.com bettors prefer Georgetown (-7.5) as they take on Vanderbilt; 84% of the early money is backing Oregon (-3) as they square off against UNLV; and a slight majority (52%) of the early cash is on Florida (-10.5) against Butler as the Gators continue their quest for another National Title. The only favorite the public don’t seem confident in is UNC, as 59% of the cash is backing the underdog Trojans (+8).

Midwest

#1 Florida vs. #5 Butler

The defending National Champs have been on a mission since last April.  Joakim Noah and Al Horford turned down millions of dollars for one reason, to REPEAT.  After a late season hiccup which saw them lose three out of four, the Gators have won six straight by an average of 20.3 points. More importantly, they covered in five of those six games.  Behind their stymie defense that yields only 56.9 PPG, Butler has been a very pleasant surprise this season.  As their 20-11 ATS record will indicate, “surprise teams” like Butler are often good bets for gamblers.  Playing in an average conference, Butler wasn’t and underdog too often but when they were, they covered (6-0 ATS).  Butler’s defense will have its hands full against a Gators offense which averages 80.1 PPG on an amazing 52.9% shooting from the field.  With Florida’s tournament experience over the last few years, it isn’t surprising that they are 5-1 ATS this season, 20-4 ATS over the last three seasons and 38-20 since 1997 in tournament action.

#3 Oregon vs. #7 UNLV

As a #7 seed, UNLV is the closest thing to a “Cinderella” we have this year.  If you bet on UNLV this season with any regularity, you most likely cashed in. Behind their guard oriented attack, the Rebels are an impressive 20-11 ATS this season.  As an underdog they covered in 8 out of their ten games which isn’t surprising since they are 52-30 ATS as a ‘dog since 1997. The Rebels have been a consistent cover during the month of March as well.  This March they are 6-0 ATS, 11-3 ATS over the last three seasons and 24-11 since 1997. Their impressive ATS trends don’t end there; versus teams with a winning record they are 15-6 ATS this season and 41-21 over the last three seasons.  Although Oregon hasn’t been as generous to gamblers as UNLV this season, they have been covering consistently as of late.  There is no question that they are playing their best ball of the season having won their last 8 straight up (SU) by an average of 14.5 points. Not surprising they covered in 7 of those games.  It is interesting to note how similar these teams are in regards to scoring and scoring defense. UNLV averages 75 PPG while giving up 66.5 PPG and Oregon scores 75.8 PPG while yielding 65.5 PPG.

East

#6 Vanderbilt vs. #2 Georgetown

“Hoya Paranoia” is officially back! After a decent start, Georgetown has rolled through the second half of the season.  Over their last 18 games, they are 17-1 SU.  They have definitely improved ATS as the season has progressed as well. After opening the season 1-4-1 ATS, the Hoyas have covered 78.3% of their games.  With their great interior play of Jeff Green and Roy Hibbert, the Hoyas as a team shoot 50.5% from the field.  Like the Georgetown teams from years ago, they also excel on defense.  Hoya opponents averaged only 56.8 PPG on 38.2% shooting from the field and an extremely low 30.4% from beyond the arc.  The last stat could be of some concern to Vanderbilt considering they shoot 37.7% from long-range.  Ranking second to last in the SEC in rebounding margin, Vanderbilt will have its work cut out for them against the Hoya trees. As far as covering is concerned, Vanderbilt has been almost a “sure thing” (7-1 ATS) versus good defensive teams that allow less than 64 PPG.

#1 UNC vs. # 5 USC

The Tar Heels are as talented and as deep as any team in the country.  Going ten deep and chock full of HS All-Americans, UNC averages 86.1 PPG and scored 100+ seven times.  Led by All-American forward, Tyler Hansbrough (18.6 PPG 7.9 RPG) UNC has a very balanced attack which can kill you on the inside as well as on the perimeter.  UNC only real concern is their youth as eight of their rotation players are either sophomores or freshmen.  UNC was a reliable cover this season going 20-13 ATS.  An intriguing covering trend for the Tar Heels in recent years has been how they fared after non-conference games.  This season they are 11-3 ATS after non-conference games and over the last three seasons they are 31-13 ATS.  USC is also a pretty deep team which is loaded with swingman types.  An match-up to keep an eye on will be freshman forward Taj Gibson (12.1 PPG, 8.6 RPG) as he squares off against the AA Hansbrough.  USC has been a covering machine this season achieving a 21-10 record ATS.  They have thrived in the underdog role, having covered 10 out of 12.  When playing a team with a winning record, the Trojans are an incredible 20-6 ATS. Keep in mind, USC dedicated their season to former star to Ryan Francis who passed away before the season so as they get closer to the ultimate goal, emotion could definitely be on their side.

With Friday -105 juice on Basketball betting, MySportsbook.com is the place to bet on all of the “March Madness” action.  Don’t forget to monitor who the public is backing at this sportsbook “Betting Trends”.  By doing so, you have the best chance of predicting a possible line change, thus getting the best value for your wager.

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